CIS 2033: Introduction to Computational Probability and Statistics, Section 004

Professor

Dr. Richard Beigel

Office: 312 SERC
E-mail: richard.beigel@temple.edu
Web page: Dr. Richard Beigel

Teaching assistant (section 003)

Djordje (George) Gligorijevic

Office: 334 SERC
Office phone: +1 215 204 5376
E-mail: gligorijevic@temple.edu

Office hours for Fall 2016:

  • Wednesday: 11:00am-1:00pm

Assignments Policy

You will be given several assignments. These should be submitted to Teaching assistant directly or via email in a timely fashion. Assignments should be submited each week before (or at the beggining) the labs by the due date for the respective assignment.

Lab Assignments

There will be approximately 5 Lab assigments for which you will be given 1-2 weeks to complete and each will be worth 10 points. Lab assignments will include everything that was covered before the last lab assignment.

Homework Assignments

Late submissions of homework are not allowed! However, individual exceptions will only be granted in the rarest of circumstances. Appeals to accept late homework should be directed by email to the instructor, and should typically be accompanied by appropriate documentation (e.g. doctor’s note).

Unless otherwise specified, homework may not be done in groups

Homework problems will be discussed on the labs on the day the homework was due. It is highly recommended to take notes during homework discussion as you will not have your homework with you.

Lab Materials

Introduction to MATLAB presentation:

Obtain MATLAB software:

MATLAB Site Licensed Software

MATLAB materials from labs:

Lab 1 code, introduction to MATLAB.
Lab 2 code, outcomes, events and probability.
Lab 3 code, conditional probability and independence.
Lab 3 coincident birthday problem code
Lab 3 Monty Hall code
Lab 3 Monty Hall 2 code
Lab 4 code, Discrete random variables
Lab 5 code
Lab 5 data, 100 stations precipitation
Lab 5 demo5.mat data
Lab 6 code, Expectation and variance
Lab 6 data, 100 stations precipitation
Lab 9 code, Graphical and Numerical summaries.
Lab 9 solution code, Graphical and Numerical summaries.
Lab 9 poiss.mat data
Lab 9 norm.mat data
Lab 9 oldfaithful.txt Old Faithful data
Lab 9 software.txt Software reliability data
Lab 9 drilling.txt Drilling in rock data
Lab 9 jankahardness.txt Janka hardness of Australian timber data

Solutions of lab assignments:

Lab assignment 1 solution:

Lab assignment 2 solution:

Lab assignment 3 solution:

Usefull slides:

Lab 3 slide, conditional probability and independence.

Usefull probability links:

Bayes rule in an animated gif article (visualising dependence of having a disease and having a positive test to it).
Three birthday problem explained.

Homework and Lab Assignments

Week

Date

Topic

Lab Assignment

Due time

1

09/02

Introduction to MATLAB

2

09/09

Chapt. 1: Probability spaces

3

09/16

Chapt. 1: Probability spaces

4

09/23

Chapt. 1: Probability spaces

12pm. on Oct 4

5

09/30

Chapt. 2: Combinatorial analysis

6

10/07

Chapt. 3: Discrete Random Variables

7

10/14

Chapt. 3: Discrete Random Variables

3pm. on Oct. 24

8

10/21

Chapt. 3: Discrete Random Variables

9

10/28

Chapt. 3: Discrete Random Variables

3pm. on Nov. 4

10

11/04

TBD

10

11/11

TBD

10

11/18

TBD

10

11/25

TBD

10

12/02

TBD

3pm. on Dec. 9

Textbook

Main textbook:

  • Introduction to Probability Theory, Paul G. Hoel, Sidney C. Port, Charles J. Stone, CENGAGE Learning, ISBN: 978-0-395-04636-4
  • The Cartoon Guide to Statistics. By Larry Gonick, Woollcott Smith

Reference textbooks:

  • A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics. By Dekking, F.M., Kraaikamp, C., Lopuhaa, H.P., Meester, L.E. Springer 2007, ISBN: 978-1-85233-896-1
  • Probability and Statistics for Computer Scientists, Second Edition, by Michael Baron, Chapman and Hall/CRC 2013, ISBN: 978-1-4398-75 90-2
  • Introduction to Probability, 2nd Edition. By Dimitri P. Bertsekas, John N. Tsitsiklis
  • How to Lie with Statistics. By Darrell Huff, Irving Geis